India Meteorological Department (IMD) says that 24 percent less rain was recorded during the month of August but the country is expected to receive above normal rainfall in September. IMD Director General Mrityunjay Mohapatra said on Wednesday that in September, more than normal rainfall is expected in many parts of central India. IMD has ‘updated’ the overall rainfall forecast for the season.
The IMD, in its forecast for the month, said that the country received 24 per cent below normal rainfall in August, but the rainfall in September is expected to be above normal. Mohapatra also said that normal or less rain is expected in the southern parts of North and Northeast India and South India.
He said that the latest global model forecasts indicate that the current ENSO (El Nio) conditions will continue over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and the negative Indian Ocean Dipole condition is also expected to continue over the Indian Ocean region during September.
However, the sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean are showing signs of cooling and re-emergence of ‘La Nina’ conditions at or after the end of the monsoon season, the IMD chief said. Estimates are rising.
Mohapatra said, “SST conditions over the Pacific and Indian Oceans are known to have a strong influence on the Indian Monsoon, so the IMD is carefully monitoring the sea surface conditions over these ocean basins.”