Lok Sabha Election Results 2024 Update: There are reports in the media that Sharad Pawar, who is considered one of the most seasoned players of Indian politics, has spoken to Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, TDP chief Chandrababu Naidu, who performed brilliantly in Andhra Pradesh, and Odisha Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik. After these reports came to light, speculations have suddenly intensified whether the INDIA Alliance, an organization of most of the major opposition parties of the country, has started trying to form its government in view of the current trend of the results? Will these efforts succeed in breaking Narendra Modi’s dream of becoming the Prime Minister of the country for the third consecutive time? Or will the BJP once again form the government by leaving behind all the efforts of the opposition?
What is the numbers game right now?
According to the trends so far, BJP is not likely to get 272 Lok Sabha seats on its own, which is the magic number for majority in the Lok Sabha of 543 MPs. BJP is currently around 240 seats, which is 32 seats short of the majority. However, if we include the allies of NDA, then the total number of the entire alliance is more than 290. According to this, there should be no problem in the formation of NDA government. But on the other hand, India Alliance is seen getting 234 seats. That means they need 38 seats for majority. Obviously, in such a situation, the opposition alliance will try to somehow bring NDA’s two biggest allies – TDP and JDU with them. TDP is seen getting around 16 seats and JDU 14 seats in this election.
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What if TDP and JDU switch sides?
JDU chief Nitish Kumar is known to change sides from time to time by sensing the direction of the wind. In such a situation, the news of Sharad Pawar’s talks with him has fueled the speculation that will he leave the BJP once again? If Nitish Kumar repeats his old attitude and does so and TDP also joins hands with the opposition alliance in the desire of a bigger role at the Center, then the INDIA alliance can get 30 more seats. Even after this, they will need 8-10 more seats, which they can try to fulfill by combining 6 independents or some other small parties’ scattered seats. There is also speculation that Indian Union Muslim League (IUML), AIMIM MPs can also support the India Block if needed. Apart from this, if Sharad Pawar’s magic of alliance art works once again, then some new kind of political game can also be seen.
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Will this really be possible?
Anything is possible in the game of politics and you cannot deny any possibility. Who could have thought a few years ago that NCP-Congress and Shiv Sena could come together in Maharashtra? Or could anyone have imagined that BJP and PDP would come together to form a government in Jammu and Kashmir? Therefore, for now, it can only be said that this time the dream of an India Block government is difficult to fulfill, but not impossible.