Artificial intelligence breaks through potential and challenges

Eurasia Group (USA), the world’s leading political risk research and consulting unit, has just assessed 2024 as the year of artificial intelligence (AI).

Sides of the trend

Specifically, in inbound analytics AdolescentEurasia Group evaluates: 2024 is a year of maturity for AI. Companies are already pushing the latest and greatest AI products and features. Meanwhile, governments around the world are trying to control this technology.

Accordingly, AI has grown stronger as it is no longer limited to conventional chatbot interfaces, to develop into more creative software applications. The trend mentioned above has led to a race to invest in semiconductor chips to serve the development of AI. Typically, Meta (Facebook’s parent corporation) alone has revealed spending billions of dollars to equip NVIDIA graphics processors to enhance AI applications.

Meanwhile, many large American technology companies such as Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft and OpenAI are trying to design their own chips to reduce dependence on two chip suppliers NVIDIA and AMD – which do not offer cheap prices. for advanced semiconductor chips. Finding cheaper chip sources is expected to help increase economic efficiency, aiming for profits from the development of AI applications and services. Because financial investors also continuously warn that investment in AI is too large but companies cannot yet earn profits.

At the same time, in 2024, the European Union (EU) passed the AI ​​control law, becoming the first complete legal system in this field and becoming a framework for the general development of AI in this era. next time. Last September, the UN also announced a plan outlining specific goals for the global governance body to ensure a “comprehensive” system in AI management. However, the United States in 2025 under Donald Trump will likely take a limited intervention approach to the field of AI. Recently, leaders of Meta, Amazon… did not hesitate to spend heavily to donate to Mr. Trump’s inauguration event as an effort to enlist support.

Revolving around AI, 2024 will also witness fierce competition between the US and China. In particular, Washington has promoted many measures to limit Beijing’s development in AI. As a result, the Chinese side has encountered many difficulties in this field.

Future and challenges

Eurasia Group’s analysis also makes some predictions about the development of AI in 2025. AI is forecast to improve in modeling but the level of improvement will still be a question mark. If the improvement is not too large, it means that the technology industry is concerned about the efficiency of investment profits, and in fact, there have been comments that the development speed of AI is slower than before. Conversely, if AI models explode too hot, it may also be the beginning of the “falling point” phase. Perhaps, AI companies will find a balance to prove that the bright future of AI will last a long time.

However, the explosive development of AI can lead to a negative development in the reaction of workers. Typically, in the “film factory” of Hollywood (USA) and the video game industry, human resources in the creative industry can react to the business side due to job cuts.

Besides, another worrying prediction is the possibility that war will become more automated. Governments may not fully accept AI in the entire operating system, but the military may be different. For example, the US Department of Defense is promoting the development and application of AI, and many more contracts are expected in the near future. This implies the possibility that AI will be increasingly applied in war machines, leading to many unpredictable risks for humanity.