After the past 4 matches in the AFF Cup group stage, the Vietnamese team is ranked first in Group B with 7 points (difference +4), Indonesia is ranked second in the group with 4 points (difference 0), Myanmar is ranked 3rd with 4 points. (difference 0), Philippines ranked 4th with 3 points (difference 0). It should be added that although Indonesia and Myanmar both have 4 points and a difference of 0, the team from ten thousand islands (winning 1-0 against Myanmar in the first match of the group stage) is ranked higher because of their direct confrontation record.
The race for two tickets to the semi-finals in Group B has not yet ended. In particular, the Indonesian team lost the right to self-determination. In the final match, coach Shin Tae-yong’s team needs to draw or win against the Philippines, while waiting for the final result of the match between Vietnam and Myanmar.
So, in what case does the Myanmar team advance?
Accordingly, the Indonesian team needs to win or draw with the Philippines, and Vietnam must not lose to Myanmar. At that time, Vietnam and Indonesia will participate in the semi-finals of AFF Cup 2024.
Specifically, in case Indonesia and Vietnam both have a draw in the last round: Vietnam will win the group with 8 points, and Indonesia and Myanmar will both have 5 points. At the AFF Cup, direct confrontation results are considered first, so Indonesia continues with second place in Group B because it is ahead of Myanmar.
A risky situation that the Indonesian team can face is if Vietnam loses to Myanmar with a difference of 1 goal, but has a goal like: 1-2, 2-3… If this happens, The Indonesian team will definitely be eliminated because of their inferior goal difference, no matter what score coach Shin Tae-yong and his team win against the Philippines.
Besides, there is also a case where the Indonesian and Myanmar teams will continue together, while Vietnam is eliminated. This happens when Indonesia wins against the Philippines, and at the same time Vietnam loses to Myanmar with a difference of 2 goals or more (eg 0-2, 1-3,…).
However, the possibility of Vietnam losing to Myanmar with a difference of 2 goals or more is considered unlikely. Instead, believing that Vietnam will not lose to Myanmar is probably a more feasible choice for football fans of the ten thousand islands.
Asean Mitsubishi Electric Cup 2024 is shown live and completely on FPT Play, at: http://fptplay.vn